Premier League Betting 12-13/1/13

Not much has happened yet in the January transfer window which allows us to concentrate on the football. From a betting perspective it’s quite tricky this weekend and it’s hard to know where to start, I guess everyone’s eye will be drawn towards Super Sunday, when Manchester United play Liverpool and Manchester City face Arsenal. But I’m going to start at the beginning instead, the early kick off on Saturday afternoon.

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QPR v Tottenham:

Harry Redknapp welcomes his old side to Loftus Road and it looks a very daunting challenge for his limited squad. When you consider the pace on offer to Spurs with Bale, Lennon and Defoe and contrast that against QPR’s sluggish defenders such as Clint Hill, the signs are ominous.

Spurs have a decent away record, winning 6 out of 10, including their last 2. QPR have 1 win at home this season and are firmly rooted at the foot of the premier league table. Despite Harry’s recent win away to Chelsea I can’t see them beating Spurs, I think that was a fluke rather than a new dawn.

Tottenham win 5/6 (1.83) -120

Everton v Swansea:

The Swans continue to impress, and they continue to amaze. They face an impressive Everton who are flying high in the league, and it’s a difficult match to call. If I was forced to call it, I’d side with Everton, purely because of home advantage and fatigue could become a factor when you consider Swansea’s midweek cup game against Arsenal.

The standout bet for me in this match, is both teams to score. In the league, both teams have scored in 16 of Everton’s games this season. Swansea have a free scoring Michu in their side, and now Danny Graham is finding his form at this level, you would have to be hopeful they will squeeze one past Tim Howard in Everton’s goal.

Both Teams To Score 4/5 (1.80) -125

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Man United v Liverpool:

This is billed as a straight shootout between Suarez and Robin Van Persie, but I think it will be much more than that. Liverpool always raise their game against United and it should prove an end to end frantic game of football.

The bookmakers are taking no chances in the overs, anytime goal scorer and the both teams to score market so I will leave them alone. I think it is worth a go backing the home team at a decent price considering Liverpool have not won at Old Trafford since 2008.

Manchester United Win 10/11 (1.91) -110

Value Bets:

Looking across the whole list of fixtures then there are some value bets to be had. For instance if you can wait to see Chelsea’s starting line-up then Ba should be considered if he starts. Ba has scored 4 in his last 4 against Stoke and does look hungry at the minute.

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Norwich are playing well, but they are conceding goals along the way. With Demba Ba gone, the onus will be on Papiss Cisse to lead the line for Newcastle. On current form you could not back Newcastle but there is no doubting Cisse class.

Ba to score anytime 8/5 (2.60) +160

Cisse to score anytime 9/4 (3.25) +225

January 12, 2013: posted in Premier League Betting Blog No Comments